BURN THE HORSE
Statistical
Web site OmniRankings (www.omnirankings.com)
has UALR as its fourth choice to win the 2012 Sun Belt Tournament.
OmniRankings
picks top seeded Middle Tennessee to win the Sun Belt Tournament, but it
actually gives Denver a better percentage of winning it all.
Denver is
given an 84.22 percent chance of winning its first game, a 65 percent chance in
its second game and a 38.44 percent chance in the championship game. That is
better than Middle Tennessee’s 37.58 percent chance of winning.
North Texas is
the third choice with an 8.17 percent chance and UALR fourth at 5.82 percent.
OmniRankings
doesn’t go with a first-round upset, taking Florida Atlantic over Arkansas
State, Western Kentucky over Florida International and South Alabama over Troy.
Jeff Sagarin’s
predictions also don’t favor first-round upsets, but two of the three games are
really too close to call. He has:
·
Florida Atlantic 0.11 points better than
Arkansas State
·
Western Kentucky 0.54 points better than Florida
International
·
South Alabama 2.69 points better than Troy
