BURN THE HORSE
UALR at Arkansas State 7 p.m. tonight Jonesboro Vegas Says: ASU by 3 |
BTH Keys to Victory
Solid start: UALR has dominated the first half in many of its games this season. Arkansas State is 5-2 this season when the Red Wolves lead at halftime. When they trail at the half they’re only 3-8. UALR is 7-6 when leading at the half but 0-5 when trailing at halftime. It can be difficult in Jonesboro but a good start is a necessity tonight.
Defense wins: UALR’s defense has been much better of late and will need to be again tonight. Arkansas State is 1-8 when scoring fewer than 60 points this season. UALR is 4-2 when holding opponents to fewer than 60.
Rebound it: Arkansas Staate is 7-3 when outrebounding its opponent and 0-7 when its opponent outrebounds them. UALR has outrebounded its opponent in six of its seven victories.
Inside out: UALR needs scoring on the inside and outside. The last time Courtney Jackson played in Jonesboro, he had 13 points and 13 rebounds. UALR needs to get something in the paint tonight.
Vegas says:
Arkansas State is favored by three points. UALR is 3-10 straight up as a Vegas underdog this season. But the Trojans have worked the spread over pretty well of late. UALR has beaten the spread as an underdog eight consecutive times. Arkansas State is 4-0 this season as a Vegas favorite.
Predictions
- Jeff Sagarin (13-4): Arkansas State 72, UALR 71
- Omni Rankings (9-3): Arkansas State by 1
- CBS Sports line (12-5): Arkansas State 71, UALR 64
- The Sports Network (11-6): Arkansas State 67, UALR 62
- Real Time RPI (10-7): Arkansas State 72, UALR 65
- Combination: Arkansas State 72, UALR 67