Tonight's UALR - Louisiana-Monroe predictions

BURN THE HORSE
UALR (-3) at Louisiana-Monroe
7 p.m. tonight
Fant-Ewing Coliseum, Monroe, La.
  Las Vegas line favors UALR by three points tonight. I'm trying to think back, but I believe this might be the first time UALR has been the favorite on the road this season. The line started at 4 and dipped to 3 overnight. It's also up at 3.5 other places.
   Here's tonight's predictions:

Ken Pomeroy (17-6): UALR 67, Louisiana-Monroe 63
Real Time RPI (15-8): UALR 74, Louisiana-Monroe 63
CBS Sportsline (15-8): UALR 68, Louisiana-Monroe 66
Jeff Sagarin (14-9): UALR 69, Louisiana-Monroe 63
The Sports Network (13-10): UALR 66, Louisiana-Monroe 61

The Sports Network's breakdown:
http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=sportsnetwork&page=cbask/scores/live/preview.aspx?id=54716
And with KP running away with this, here's his predictions for tonight's Sun Belt games:
Western Kentucky 78, North Texas 76 (ESPN2)
Middle Tennessee 78, Florida International 68
Denver 66, Troy 63
Florida Atlantic 72, Louisiana-Lafayette 63
If Denver wins at Troy, that would virtually lock up a bye in the first round of the Sun Belt Tournament for the Pioneers (considering the home games they have remaining).
the West Division:
Denver            8-3 12-12
Arkansas State 8-4 14-13
UL-Lafayette   6-5 9-14
North Texas     5-5 16-7
UALR             5-5 13-12
UL-Monroe     1-11 6-20